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학술지명 Environmental Modelling and Software
저자 Chi-Hung Chang,Chinaporn Meechaiya,Duong D. Bui,Faisal Hossain,Hahn Chul Jung,Hyongki Lee,John D. Bolten,Kel Markert,Shahryar Khalique Ahmad,Son K. Do,Thanapon Piman,Tien L.T. Du,황의호
발표일 2023-02-01
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In the Lower Mekong River Basin floodplains, rice cultivation is highly crucial for regional and global food security. However, prolonged flooding can pose damage to rice cultivation and other socio-economic aspects. Yet, there is no rapid operational inundation forecasting system that can help decision-makers proactively mitigate flood damages. Here, we integrated the so-called Forecasting Inundation Extents using Rotated empirical orthogonal function analysis (FIER) framework with an altimetry-based operational Mekong River level forecasting system and built an operational web application, FIER-Mekong, (https://fier-mekong.streamlit.app/) that generates daily skillful forecasted inundation extents (>70% of critical success index) and depths in about 3 and 30 s, respectively, with up to 18-day lead times. One of its applications, predicting flood-induced rice economic losses, is also presented. Had FIER-Mekong being adopted, we estimated that the rice damages, up to 87 and 53 million US dollars during the 2020 and 2021 harvest time, respectively, could have been avoided.
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